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Activity title

Countering Autonomy/AI Threats

Activity Reference

SCI-MSG-ET-067

Panel

SCI

Security Classification

NATO UNCLASSIFIED

Status

Active

Activity type

ET

Start date

2024-01-01T00:00:00Z

End date

2025-01-01T00:00:00Z

Keywords

Artificial Intelligence, Autonomous System, Autonomy, countermeasures

Background

Development in the domain of Autonomy/Artificial Intelligence (AI) has significantly increased pace in the recent years. The range of potential applications for the technology is wide and is not limited to military applications, resulting in large investments by non-defence organizations, development of open-source tools and a democratization of the development. Military use of autonomous systems, which include aerial, ground, surface, and underwater, foster the R&D to increase autonomy/collaboration/interaction in multi-domains/environments/conditions and sensors exploitation. Recent armed conflict demonstrated that those developments are not without impact on the security. Autonomy/AI techniques and technologies will make the threat distance and persistent, and difficult to identify. Our adversaries may not be bound by any legal or ethical limits either.

Objectives

To understand the threat posed by the development and use of Autonomy/AI, and how can we use the Alliance S&T knowledge base to research and develop specific counter measures or interventions in the kill chain or the supply chain. Scientific objectives cover: - Analysis of actual and future autonomy/AI exploitation, which includes autonomous systems (aerial, ground, surface, underwater, and multi-modality) - Analysis of actual counter measures, which includes soft and hard-kill mitigation solutions. Tracking and threat confirmation (identification) is considered in the mitigation solutions. - Identification of gaps, - Investigation of counter measures solution.

Topics

Note: autonomous systems (AS) refer to aerial, ground, surface, and underwater type. In addition, tracking and threat confirmation (identification) are considered in the mitigation solutions. • Techniques/technologies/methods used to exploit and counter, which includes soft and hard-kill mitigation solutions: o Autonomy/AI in military/civilian domains. o Increase of autonomy of AS, including mission driven. o Complex environments navigations/guidance of AS, including GPS/GNSS denied, low feature environments, etc. o ISR/armed AS, including loitering munitions, air launched effects, kamikaze (one-way) AS, etc. o Self-targeting autonomous sensors and AS. o Multi-agents/swarms/cooperative AS, including self-relaying AS and intelligent missions. o Autonomous decision making for high success mission rate. • Threats our adversaries pose using Autonomy/AI to enhance or outsmart Alliance’s defense and security capabilities. • Latest research on Counter Autonomy/AI. • Counter-counter Autonomy/AI. Research domains include Autonomy/AI military/civilian applications.

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